Event Density Anomaly Detector

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Most weeks, the total volume of events across the portfolio fluctuates within a predictable range. When a week's total activity significantly exceeds that range — beyond the statistical control limits — it indicates that something unusual happened across the entire portfolio simultaneously. That could be a major deployment, a regulatory deadline, or a crisis — but it needs to be understood.

What you can conclude

  • A week flagged as an anomaly requires explanation — what happened that drove unusually high activity across all projects simultaneously?
  • Consecutive anomaly weeks indicate sustained systemic stress — the organization is operating outside its normal capacity range.
  • A portfolio that stays within control limits consistently is predictable and stable — no systemic concerns.

How this chart works

Control chart showing portfolio-wide weekly event count with a 14-week rolling mean and ±2σ control limits. Weeks exceeding the upper control limit are marked as anomalies.